First Quarter 2008 Denver Area Residential Absorption Rates
Wednesday, May 7th, 2008
There are no areas during the first quarter of 2008 that we would consider to be Seller’s Markets. We’ve moved into a neutral market in most residential areas, but this will change as the year moves on. Buyers will be aggressively negotiating in those areas that have increased supply on the market.
I have seen a marked increase in showings on my listings just in the last few weeks, so the spring and summer buyers are out and looking. This will change our report for next quarter possibly into more of a seller’s market in a few areas.
Considering Absorption Rate is one way to measure the health of our real estate market. Absorption Rate designates the number of months of housing supply on hand. The larger the supply, the more competition there is for sellers and the higher likelihood that prices will drop or concessions will be offered. The market has definitely slowed in the last quarter.
More Months of Supply = Buyer’s Market = Possible Reduced Pricing and/or Concessions
Fewer Months of Supply = Seller’s Market = Possible Price Increases and/or Bidding Wars
The commonly accepted separation between markets is:
|
Area |
Jan AR |
Feb AR |
Mar AR |
Avg. AR |
Market Condition |
|
Aurora North |
6.99 |
6.51 |
5.73 |
6.41 |
Neutral |
|
Aurora South |
6.12 |
6.36 |
5.23 |
5.90 |
Neutral |
|
Broomfield |
9.54 |
9.61 |
8.14 |
9.10 |
Buyers |
|
Douglas Cnty West |
10.21 |
14.18 |
10.12 |
11.50 |
Buyers |
|
Douglas/Elbert/Parker |
10.94 |
9.73 |
8.57 |
9.75 |
Buyers |
|
Highland Ranch/Lone Tree |
5.11 |
5.17 |
5.37 |
5.22 |
Neutral |
|
Denver Northeast |
7.25 |
7.38 |
5.73 |
6.79 |
Neutral |
|
Denver Northwest |
6.22 |
6.58 |
6.28 |
6.36 |
Neutral |
|
Denver Southeast |
9.99 |
10.64 |
9.03 |
9.89 |
Buyers |
|
Denver Southwest |
6.49 |
6.85 |
5.91 |
6.42 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco Central |
6.86 |
8.56 |
5.12 |
6.85 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco North |
5.00 |
5.89 |
4.59 |
5.16 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco South |
5.23 |
6.86 |
5.60 |
5.90 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco West/Golden |
7.73 |
7.11 |
6.83 |
7.22 |
Buyers |
|
Jeffco North Central |
6.54 |
6.74 |
4.42 |
5.90 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco South Central |
5.45 |
6.75 |
5.63 |
5.94 |
Neutral |
|
Area |
Jan AR |
Feb AR |
Mar AR |
Avg. AR |
Market Condition |
|
Aurora North |
5.57 |
5.71 |
5.89 |
5.72 |
Neutral |
|
Aurora South |
7.87 |
6.57 |
5.69 |
6.71 |
Neutral |
|
Broomfield |
16.0 |
29.0 |
7.00 |
17.33 |
Buyers |
|
Douglas Cnty West |
6.79 |
9.83 |
7.25 |
7.96 |
Neutral |
|
Douglas/Elbert/Parker |
8.07 |
5.36 |
6.68 |
6.70 |
Neutral |
|
Highland Ranch/Lone Tree |
6.09 |
9.33 |
8.61 |
8.01 |
Neutral |
|
Denver Northeast |
20.89 |
11.85 |
19.85 |
17.53 |
Buyers |
|
Denver Northwest |
10.08 |
8.44 |
16.44 |
11.65 |
Buyers |
|
Denver Southeast |
9.76 |
10.30 |
11.07 |
10.38 |
Buyers |
|
Denver Southwest |
9.04 |
9.48 |
7.43 |
8.65 |
Buyers |
|
Jeffco Central |
7.00 |
6.69 |
6.92 |
6.87 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco North |
3.36 |
8.00 |
7.33 |
6.23 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco South |
8.31 |
7.66 |
7.42 |
7.80 |
Buyers |
|
Jeffco West/Golden |
6.89 |
4.82 |
6.67 |
6.13 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco North Central |
8.47 |
8.47 |
4.41 |
7.12 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco South Central |
6.88 |
7.86 |
5.95 |
6.90 |
Neutral |











1. Declutter– We’ve heard it dozens of times on the home shows and you will hear it from your Realtor and Stager. The less clutter, the larger a home feels and the less people will be distracted by your “stuff”. We want them to picture themselves in your fabulous home. Pull out the boxes and pack anything you won’t need for a couple months, including those precious family photos, to create open space on walls, counters and shelves.




“You know, your Dad and I almost bought that land years ago. Just imagine what it is worth today.” My mom said that every time drove by land along Parker Road just of I-225. That was more than a few years ago when my sisters and I were growing up. Is this year’s housing market one where we may look back and wish we woulda made that decision to buy? 


The 




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makes it easy to meet new friends and to become an active part of this vibrant community.

Have you spent the last few years sorting through building plans looking for the home of your dreams? If you love Denver and would like to make your dream home a reality, here is your chance.
