First Quarter 2008 Denver Area Residential Absorption Rates
Wednesday, May 7th, 2008
There are no areas during the first quarter of 2008 that we would consider to be Seller’s Markets. We’ve moved into a neutral market in most residential areas, but this will change as the year moves on. Buyers will be aggressively negotiating in those areas that have increased supply on the market.
I have seen a marked increase in showings on my listings just in the last few weeks, so the spring and summer buyers are out and looking. This will change our report for next quarter possibly into more of a seller’s market in a few areas.
Considering Absorption Rate is one way to measure the health of our real estate market. Absorption Rate designates the number of months of housing supply on hand. The larger the supply, the more competition there is for sellers and the higher likelihood that prices will drop or concessions will be offered. The market has definitely slowed in the last quarter.
More Months of Supply = Buyer’s Market = Possible Reduced Pricing and/or Concessions
Fewer Months of Supply = Seller’s Market = Possible Price Increases and/or Bidding Wars
The commonly accepted separation between markets is:
|
Area |
Jan AR |
Feb AR |
Mar AR |
Avg. AR |
Market Condition |
|
Aurora North |
6.99 |
6.51 |
5.73 |
6.41 |
Neutral |
|
Aurora South |
6.12 |
6.36 |
5.23 |
5.90 |
Neutral |
|
Broomfield |
9.54 |
9.61 |
8.14 |
9.10 |
Buyers |
|
Douglas Cnty West |
10.21 |
14.18 |
10.12 |
11.50 |
Buyers |
|
Douglas/Elbert/Parker |
10.94 |
9.73 |
8.57 |
9.75 |
Buyers |
|
Highland Ranch/Lone Tree |
5.11 |
5.17 |
5.37 |
5.22 |
Neutral |
|
Denver Northeast |
7.25 |
7.38 |
5.73 |
6.79 |
Neutral |
|
Denver Northwest |
6.22 |
6.58 |
6.28 |
6.36 |
Neutral |
|
Denver Southeast |
9.99 |
10.64 |
9.03 |
9.89 |
Buyers |
|
Denver Southwest |
6.49 |
6.85 |
5.91 |
6.42 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco Central |
6.86 |
8.56 |
5.12 |
6.85 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco North |
5.00 |
5.89 |
4.59 |
5.16 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco South |
5.23 |
6.86 |
5.60 |
5.90 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco West/Golden |
7.73 |
7.11 |
6.83 |
7.22 |
Buyers |
|
Jeffco North Central |
6.54 |
6.74 |
4.42 |
5.90 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco South Central |
5.45 |
6.75 |
5.63 |
5.94 |
Neutral |
|
Area |
Jan AR |
Feb AR |
Mar AR |
Avg. AR |
Market Condition |
|
Aurora North |
5.57 |
5.71 |
5.89 |
5.72 |
Neutral |
|
Aurora South |
7.87 |
6.57 |
5.69 |
6.71 |
Neutral |
|
Broomfield |
16.0 |
29.0 |
7.00 |
17.33 |
Buyers |
|
Douglas Cnty West |
6.79 |
9.83 |
7.25 |
7.96 |
Neutral |
|
Douglas/Elbert/Parker |
8.07 |
5.36 |
6.68 |
6.70 |
Neutral |
|
Highland Ranch/Lone Tree |
6.09 |
9.33 |
8.61 |
8.01 |
Neutral |
|
Denver Northeast |
20.89 |
11.85 |
19.85 |
17.53 |
Buyers |
|
Denver Northwest |
10.08 |
8.44 |
16.44 |
11.65 |
Buyers |
|
Denver Southeast |
9.76 |
10.30 |
11.07 |
10.38 |
Buyers |
|
Denver Southwest |
9.04 |
9.48 |
7.43 |
8.65 |
Buyers |
|
Jeffco Central |
7.00 |
6.69 |
6.92 |
6.87 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco North |
3.36 |
8.00 |
7.33 |
6.23 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco South |
8.31 |
7.66 |
7.42 |
7.80 |
Buyers |
|
Jeffco West/Golden |
6.89 |
4.82 |
6.67 |
6.13 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco North Central |
8.47 |
8.47 |
4.41 |
7.12 |
Neutral |
|
Jeffco South Central |
6.88 |
7.86 |
5.95 |
6.90 |
Neutral |













The
Glory Days, which was held in the middle of September, was wonderful with great music and lots of fun activities for the kids. This is just one reason of the many, to live in this active and vibrant community. Below is an overview of September 2007 sales in the Lowry neighborhood. The area is generally located between Yosemite Street (east) and Quebec Street (west), E. 11th Avenue (north) and Alameda Avenue (south). There is a small pocket that juts out to the west side. The Lowry neighborhood was developed as a result of the Lowry Air Force Base closure. It is a wonderful community that has a variety of parks, the Lowry Town Center and neighborhood activities that are scheduled year round. 


The lucky people who bought one of the houses in the Bonnie Brae and Belcaro area have a great view of our fall colors right in the neighborhood. Only one house in the area closed in August.

